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05/06/2010 - Flemington R5 to R8 Previews
Race 5
(Interesting race with the two favourites likely to be
under the odds. Couple here with a chance and if
prepared to bet around the top two you will find some
good value.)
1: Arch Symbol
Price: $3.4
Comment
Been super at both runs this time in and just missed
when hit the line strong last start over 1200m at Moonee
Valley. Classy type who has 7 wins from 15 starts and
should be at peak fitness now. He looks to still be
improving and will be hitting the line strong late here.
2: Elusive Touch
Price: $5.5
Comment
Resumes. Only missed a place once in 6 career starts
including 2 wins and the form-lines read strong for
this. Likely to have derived great benefit from the
break and with the Mark Kavanagh polish can win this
fresh. Goes forward from gate 6 and should get a soft
run on the pace.
4: Grand Duels
Price: $6.7
Comment
Hard one to catch but gets his chance here and has been
kept fresh for this which is a plus. Outclassed last
start so prepared to be forgiving and is likely to box
seat from gate 1. The class runner of the field on
absolute best form but taking on trust here.
5: Tolka Polka
Price: $7
Comment
Resumes. Goes ok fresh and unlucky not to probably win
first up last time in. Rarely far from the money and
from the good gate should enjoy a good run throughout
and will be in this for a long way.
6: O’Reilly’s Clock
Price: $8.9
Comment
Resumes. Goes extremely well fresh and is a winner twice
over 1200. If can produce any of his past 4 first up
attempts will give this an almighty shake. Has the good
consistent form in strong Saturday grade and if anywhere
near right looks the knockout player.
Race 6
(Tough little race but the top four have cleared out in
the market. Like the top pick but not sure how much
value will be on offer but happy to play if we get it.)
1: Lord Pyrus
Price: $4.5
Comment
At peak for this after two very good runs this time in.
Rise in trip looks a massive plus and will enjoy the run
of the race from gate 2. Has plenty of upside and with
strong overall form-lines looks the one to beat.
2: The Red Emperor
Price: $7
Comment
Caught wide early last start so prepared to overlooks
that run on face value. He returned in top order with an
excellent run fresh and will be close to peak fitness
for this. The rise in distance is a plus and overall
form looks good enough for this.
3: Kallogg
Price: $7.3
Comment
Put two wins together in midweek company before come to
Saturday grade and was narrowly beaten by the handy No
Jurisdiction. Looks a classy type on the up and this
race not overly strong. Will get back from gate 13 but
with a likely genuine tempo will get his chance to be
running on.
4: Dr Nipandtuck
Price: $7.6
Comment
Showed glimpses of his best at both runs this prep and
was a shade unlucky not to win last start. Strips fitter
and will only improve further now up to a more suitable
trip. Hasn’t won for a while but form and opposition
should give him the best chance of breaking through for
overdue win.
Race 7
(Keen to work around the top 4 selections here and
likely to be some good value on offer)
1: Marchelle Belle
Price: $4.2
Comment
Model of consistency in this grade and was only run down
late last start when looked home. Steps out to 2000m
which looks a real plus as she showed good staying
potential in the early days. Gets in well with the claim
and will prove very hard to run down again.
2: Belscenica
Price: $4.5
Comment
Looks ready to win now after 3 solid runs this time in.
Will appreciate the rise in trip and should get the gun
run from gate 2. Has won 5 from 17 career starts so has
obvious ability and her overall form-lines look strong
for this. Gets in very well with the 3kg claim for Jake
Noonan so drops 7kgs on his last start 3rd.
3: Avienus
Price: $6.2
Comment
Promising type who is in rare form winning 2of her last
3 starts. Meets similar opposition again here so can win
but rises 3kgs on recent racing. The rise in trip will
suit and she is expected to play a major part in the
finish again.
4: Shylock’s Daughter
Price: $6.6
Comment
Winner 2 of last 3 and steps up to a more suitable trip.
In form mare who continues to improve and handles all
conditions.
Race 8
1: Currency Cugat
Price: $5
Comment
Happy to forgive his last start flop when raced on the
real heavy at Sandown. The start prior got a long way
back in a race where it was hard to make ground. Three
runs back was super in this grade when hit the line
strong and beaten less than a length. Can settle closer
from the good gate and with conditions to suit looks a
major player.
2: Red Buttons
Price: $7.3
Comment
Did enough first up when narrowly beaten to suggest he
is in for a good prep. Will appreciate the rise in trip
and should enjoy a good run on the speed from gate 6.
Yet to win second up but was beaten less than a length
second up last prep in good open company.
3: Tinamou
Price: $8
Comment
Strung two very good wins together his last couple on
his favoured heavy track. That form reads well for this
but not sure how he will go back on top of the ground.
Has obvious ability so take on trust here.
4: Anson
Price: $8.9
Comment
Lightly raced type on the up that scored a strong win
over the 1800m at Morphettville last start. Looks more
than capable of handling this class rise and gets the
weight relief against this opposition. Likely to drift
back from gate 5 and will be charging home late.
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